Bitcoin Analyst Who Nailed 2023 Stays Firm on $115K Price Call

As speculation swirls in the crypto space about Bitcoin’s future trajectory, one voice remains resolute: Sean Farrell, Head of Digital Asset Strategy at Fundstrat. Known for his accurate price predictions last year, Farrell is sticking to his guns about a bullish Bitcoin price target for 2024.

During a new interview with Coinage, Farrell doubled down on his prediction, stating that he’s still aiming for a target above $115,000 by yearend despite the lingering uncertainties in the market. Reflecting on the current state of Bitcoin’s price movement, Farrell noted that we’ve seen a lot of stagnation since earlier in the year.

“In the summer months, we had obviously a lot of negative seasonality, a lot of idiosyncratic selling events that really put a lid on any kind of rally,” he explained, referring to Bitcoin’s struggles to break through resistance levels. Yet, he remains confident that the groundwork for a significant move is being laid for Q4. “The setup is still just as compelling for Q4 as it was at the beginning of this year."

Farrell’s outlook is grounded not just in crypto-specific factors but also broader macroeconomic trends. He pointed out that global central banks are now in a cutting cycle, which historically has boded well for liquidity-sensitive assets like Bitcoin. “Global central banks...have started to cut. Over 50% of central banks globally are cutting. That is great for global liquidity and liquidity-sensitive assets,” he said. This, paired with the potential for U.S. fiscal policy shifts, is contributing to what he sees as an overall bullish environment.

Zooming out, Farrell emphasized that Bitcoin’s price is still deeply intertwined with global market sentiment and broader economic forces. He pointed to ongoing concerns like the U.S. presidential election, geopolitical issues, and central bank policies as key variables that could influence Bitcoin’s trajectory in the near term. “There still are a lot of uncertainties in the market, whether you think about the election, you think about geopolitical concerns, natural disasters. There’s still ongoing debate over whether the Fed will be able to achieve their soft landing,” Farrell noted.

When it comes to what could ignite a rally, Farrell sees Bitcoin as the linchpin for the broader crypto market. “You need Bitcoin to rally…to have this face-ripping broader breadth rally,” he emphasized. While other altcoins have been making waves, Farrell believes that the crypto market’s next leg up will need to be led by Bitcoin’s momentum. Despite not ruling out other catalysts, like meme coins or the success of new L1s like Aptos and Sui, Farrell is convinced that Bitcoin is still the main driver.

Addressing more sector-specific dynamics, Farrell spoke at length about the rise of new sectors like DePin (decentralized physical infrastructure networks) which he believes could unlock significant value in the crypto space. “DePin is super special because to date in crypto, the majority of stuff that we’ve built really is financial infrastructure, and finance is great. But ultimately, the effectiveness and usefulness of finance is really only as useful as the commerce and the applications that are built on top of it,” he explained.

Farrell sees platforms like Helium as torchbearers for this movement. He noted that Helium has made significant strides by building out infrastructure and services, especially in the broadband and mobile sectors. “On the Helium mobile network, they have almost 120,000 signups…they’ve transferred 3.2PB of data through hotspots…[and] had some days up to 160,000 major carrier subscribers offloading data to Helium hotspots,” Farrell shared, highlighting Helium’s execution and growth in the space.

With the U.S. presidential election looming, Farrell offered a high-level view on how potential outcomes could impact crypto. He acknowledged that a Trump victory would likely bring a “Trump premium” to Bitcoin, while a win for Vice President Harris would present more uncertainties. However, he was quick to note that the overall outlook for regulatory clarity and crypto adoption could improve regardless of who wins, especially if the Senate flips to a more crypto-friendly majority.

In conclusion, Farrell’s take on the state of the market is clear: “I think from a high level, the cycle is not completed yet. The setup is still just as compelling as it was.” For investors looking to navigate these turbulent waters, his advice is to keep a balanced approach. He recommends viewing Bitcoin as a “treasury asset” while strategically allocating to high-potential altcoins based on fundamental strength and market dynamics.

For now, the crypto market waits with bated breath for Q4 — where, if Farrell’s predictions prove accurate, we might see Bitcoin finally break out and lead the charge for the next bull cycle.

Coinage members can watch our full interview with Fundstrat's Sean Farrell above. To support our community-owned outlet, own it with us, and unlock other exclusive benefits, mint one of our Membership Passes today or Stake with us today! Chat with Coinage in our Discord.